Increasing synchronicity of global extreme fire weather

Feb 18, 2026·
Cong Yin
Cong Yin
,
John T. Abatzoglou
,
Matthew W. Jones
,
Alison C. Cullen
,
Mojtaba Sadegh
,
Juanle Wang
,
Yangxiaoyue Liu
· 0 min read
Annual average of intercountry SFW
Abstract
Concurrent extreme fire weather creates favorable conditions for widespread large fires, which can complicate the coordination of fire suppression resources and degrade regional air quality. Here, we examine the patterns and trends of intra- and interregional synchronous fire weather (SFW) and explore their links to climate variability and air quality impacts. We find climatologically elevated intraregional SFW in boreal regions, as well as interregional synchronicity among northern temperate and boreal regions. Significant increases in SFW occurred during 1979 to 2024, with more than a twofold increase observed in most regions. We estimate that over half of the observed increase is attributable to anthropogenic climate change. Internal modes of climate variability strongly influence SFW in several regions, including Equatorial Asia, which experiences 43 additional intraregional SFW days during El Niño years. Furthermore, SFW is strongly correlated with regional fire-sourced PM2.5 in multiple regions globally. These findings highlight the growing challenges posed by SFW for firefighting coordination and human health. Increasing synchronicity of global extreme fire weather constrains fire suppression coordination and exacerbates air pollution.
Type
Publication
Science Advances
publications
Cong Yin
Authors
Cong Yin (殷聪)
Postdoc Scientist

I am an early-career climate scientist pushing the boundaries of understanding wildfires and climate extremes using hydroclimatic, data-driven, and geostatistical approaches. My work has led to step-changes in understanding the synchronicity and persistence of extreme fire weather, factors that strongly influence extreme fires.

I work with Prof. John Abatzoglou, who leads the Climatology Lab at University of California, Merced.