Heatwaves enable wildfire activity in the western United States

Jun 19, 2026·
Dmitri A. Kalashnikov
,
John T. Abatzoglou
Cong Yin
Cong Yin
,
Madhulika Gurazada
,
Mukesh Kumar
,
Ashwin P. Thomas
,
Precious E. Ebiendele
· 0 min read
DOI
Differences in meteorological variables compared to days preceding heatwaves
Abstract
While overall impacts of heatwaves have been extensively studied, the connection between heatwaves and wildfire activity remains relatively underexplored. We analyze links between heatwaves and both wildfire occurrence and growth across the western United States (WUS) and find that 42% of burned area during 2001–2024 occurred during and immediately following heatwaves. Heatwaves facilitate significant increases in daily burned area through meteorological and fuel flammability conditions that promote new ignitions and exacerbate ongoing fire activity, with effects persisting post-heatwave in most regions. In addition, heatwaves co-occur with increased cloud-to-ground lightning that can potentially increase ignitions. Last, we observe a 2.5-fold increase in burned area in WUS forests since 2001, with ~64% of this increase coinciding with heatwaves, but without corresponding increases in nonforests. The growing influence of heatwaves in shaping burned area in WUS forests has important implications for fire management and public health and can improve predictions of wildfire risk. Heatwaves are associated with a disproportionate share of wildfire activity and trends in the western US in recent decades.
Type
Publication
Science Advances
publications
Cong Yin
Authors
Cong Yin (殷聪)
Postdoc Scientist

I am an early- climate scientist pushing the boundaries of understanding wildfires and climate extremes using hydroclimatic, data-driven, and geostatistical approaches. My work has led to step-changes in understanding the synchronicity and persistence of extreme fire weather, factors that strongly influence extreme fire activity. I focus my recent work on extreme wildfires, one of the most societally and environmentally destructive consequences of climate change. I increasingly concentrate on predicting extreme wildfires and developing a mechanistic understanding of their causes, contributing to advances in fire science and fire management, with the potential to save lives and property.

I work with Prof. John Abatzoglou, who leads the Climatology Lab at University of California, Merced.